Praxis Shell

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All artifacts are anonymized and presented for structural analysis only. They are included as specimens within the Praxis Codex to demonstrate behavioral patterns, not to identify individuals.

Trajectory Inference Model (TIM)

Illustrative model of system decay after a rupture event. Use for boundary planning and psychoeducation.

Illustrative, not determinative; supports safety planning, not labels. This model shows a common trajectory; your experience may vary.

Framework Showcase — Theory, Evidence & Methodology Only. This exhibit is descriptive, not prescriptive.

TIM — Trajectory Inference Model

A systemic model for forecasting behavioural arc decay based on rupture vectors and containment capacity. This demo estimates the Arc Degradation Period (ADP) in months after a rupture.

Inputs

Readouts

Formula Structure
ADP = BaseArc[P] ± Modifiers(V, E, C)

  BaseArc[P] = 11–15 months (pattern band)
  Chosen Base = 13.0 months
  Modifiers:
    Visibility(V): +0.0 months
    Re‑engagements(E): -2 months
    Containment(C): -2.0 months
ADP (computed): 9.0 months
Predicted Arc Degradation Point
Rupture: 2024-07
R + ADP: 2025-04
Example: Persona Rotator Stack with R=2024‑07, E=2, C=Degraded, Visibility=Moderate gives ~7.5–8.0 months (Feb–Mar 2025) depending on band position.
Design Assumptions
  • Behavioural systems operate with limited containment energy.
  • Rupture initiates a decay curve, not a transformation.
  • Likely attempts: narrative reconstruction; erotic or professional stabilisation; public repositioning.
  • Failure of any vector reduces the arc duration.
Limitations & Applications
  • Not for non‑identity‑based crises.
  • Not for systems under external psychological care/diagnosis.
  • Not for healthy reintegration arcs (growth‑based changes).
  • Behavioural collapse simulators (e.g., Collapse Clock).
  • Relational pattern mapping for echo tracking or survivor reflection.
  • Organisational instability forecasting for leadership/HR observers.
  • Narrative system analysis in policy/media; detect mirage rebranding attempts.
  • Simulation layer for AI/predictive engines as a decay engine.
This is a research framework (theory, evidence, methodology) — not advice.
Fracture Diagram
Not a timeline of events — a forecast of energetic instability. Intersection approximates the Arc Degradation Point (ADP).
0246810121416180.000.250.500.751.00ADPtₓ
ADP: 9.0 mo tₓ: 9.0 mo